World Future Society - Futurescope 2001
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Evolution is speeding up exponentially. In this next century, technology speed-up will
continue with major evolutionary consequences. History makes it evident that man-with-tool
inevitably survived and conquered man-without. Technology has caused and will continue to cause
significant societal change.
The technology tools of the future will evolve a new form of techno-human. People will be constantly
connected to the world through intelligent processors and communications. The distinction between
reality and non-reality will blur.
The three technology laws are bringing about an advance in civilization that has significant
and far-reaching consequences. The combination is producing results that are unfolding with
awesome speed - bringing irreversible change to the human species.
Kurzweil argues that synthetic intelligence will inevitably exceed human capabilities
within the next few decades. Some fringe-thinkers are already discussing trans-human and
post-human societies.
Bill Joy of Sun argues that our current pace of technological progress poses a very real
threat to the future of the human race and proposes new guidelines and standards for research.
The combination of human and synthetic intelligence has the potential for tremendous good.
Human/machine web-intelligence already exists, survives and grows, independently and inexorably.
I am optimistic about the synergy that can develop between natural and synthetic intelligence.
Joel de Rosnay postulates "symbiosis" between man and machine :
"The origin of a new life-form on Earth - a still embryonic macro-organism made up of the
totality of human beings and machines, living creatures, networks and nations - trying to live
in symbiosis with the planetary ecosystem."
Human DNA is 98.6% the same as the gorilla and 97.8% the same as orangutans,
our original biological roots. Sequencing of the human genome will bring a new level of
knowledge of our biological makeup. Technology will enhance biology through the virtual
elimination of disease and significant increase in longevity. A hundred years ago, the
average human lifespan was perhaps 60 years. Within the next few decades, the average
(techno)human lifespan will increase well beyond 100 years, and by the end of this century
to a couple of centuries. Then perhaps the biggest fatalities will come not from cancer
or heart disease, but from accidents, and war.
What are the societal and philosophical changes that will occur? Perhaps,
the new balance of life will allow future humanity to focus, not on technological
advancement, but on spirituality and love.
The complete Powerpoint presentation is available in .pdf format.
Download a .pdf format file Need a pdf reader? Go to the Adobe website
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