Swarms & SmartBots - distributed intelligence
Put out some sugar in your backyard - in a few minutes, the ants or the
bees will arrive. It's as if the myriad of insects have a single, powerful
brain. They solve problems that would seem to be impossible even for huge,
supercomputers.
Insects are a great conceptual model for tiny, distributed, sensors and
actuators. They have simple local interactions with one another, adding
up to complicated group behaviors, like building complicated hives or huge
anthills. In other words, the whole is greater than the sum of its parts.
Michael Crichton's novel PREY told a scary story of tiny invisible
dust with super intelligence, that attacked humans as prey.
Smart "dust" may seem like science fiction. But Intel is working on it,
with visions of billions of microprocessors everywhere.
Originally a DARPA project, Intel is working with US Berkeley to create
cubic millimeter-sized sensors, or "motes." The idea is to combine tiny
MEMS sensors with intelligence and wireless communications. When used in
vast quantities, this smart dust can perform tasks that have hitherto
been impossible with conventional computing.
Intel has invested in Crossbow's TinyOS, an open-source software
platform that works on fewer than 8 kilobytes of memory, for distributed
smart sensor networks. Expect amazing results, in many different kinds
of applications.
Another DARPA originated project with a similar approach is iRobot's
SwarmBots. These are still somewhat bigger than dust - 5-inch cubes,
with tiny brains and electric motors. Each has a small color camera for
simple object recognition, as well as sensors that detect light.
Communications between the SwarmBots are handled by an array of infrared
transmitters and receivers. Imagine telling thousands of these tiny
Swarmbots to go invade a terrorist hideout.
Military brainstormers think that thousands of tiny robots working
together may play an important role in future operations such as land-mine
disposal or cleaning up chemical spills. One application might be
a horde of tiny robots on the ground, coordinating their actions with
aerial combat robot drones. Now that would be an awesome swarm!
Smart Dust Collecting in the Enterprise
Fortune - Send In the Swarm
iRobot - Combining Distributed Control with Centralized Coordination
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Machine-to-machine - the new M2M revolution
According to Glen Allmendinger of Harbor Research, M2M technologies
will penetrate the world far more deeply, and change the world far
more profoundly, than did the technologies of the PC era. But it will
be pervasive, ubiquitous, invisible - a very different thing.
M2M does not arrive in the world as a distinct, perceivable product
operating in a distinct, controlled environment. You don't buy it the
way you buy a PC running a specific desktop OS. It arrives in about
a million different ways, most of them designed not to be directly
perceivable by humans.
Networked "embedded intelligence" is what pervasive computing and M2M
are all about. The information coming from a device can be just as
valuable, if not more valuable, than the device itself: for example,
current location, part number, where it was purchased, when it was
installed and by whom, critical specifications, diagnostics, availability
of spares, replacement alternatives, repair instructions, usage patterns,
and more.
Glen Allmendinger has a penchant for verbal images that make good sense:
"M2M will bend the traditional linear value chain into a feedback loop
through which the heartbeats of manufactured objects will continually flow
back through complex business alliances that create, distribute, and
service those objects."
All this invisible machine activity makes the information about assets,
costs, and liabilities vastly more visible to managers and to the
decision-making process.
M2M will unleash a wave of productivity and efficiencies previously unseen.
When manufactured objects are continually sending field intelligence back,
OEMs will be able to shed costs, explore new revenue opportunities, and
solve customer problems as never before.
Harbor Research has just completed a major new study on M2M adoption.
Get it!
Visit Harbor Research website
Subscribe to Harbor Research's Currents
Read M2M Magazine
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Editorial - "That's my story and I'm stickin' to it!"
In the 2000 election, George W. Bush lost the popular vote and was
elected unfairly. A significant segment of American voters still
feel bad about that.
The new President proceeded to chalk up the largest deficit in US history.
He launched a war that has alienated most of our allies. The world had
admired America - now they think we are just war-mongers.
Bush's primary reasons for launching the pre-emptive war in Iraq:
- Weapons of mass destruction. None found.
- Chemical and biological weapons (described in detail by Colin Powell
in a UN speech which we now know was fabricated.) None found.
- Links to Al Quaeda. None found.
It's weird. When confronted with each of these items, the response
is always the same. Dick Cheney is usually the straight man:
"That's my story, and I'm sticking to it!"
It is now clear that, immediately on becoming President, Bush was intent
on attacking Iraq. The books by Paul O'Neill, Richard Clarke and Bob
Woodward document that with excruciating detail. The Neo-conservative
Agenda could not be explained to the American people, and so they were
busy cooking up excuses which they felt were black-and-white and credible.
Any one who wasn't on the track to accommodate what the President wanted
was "not patriotic".
The outgoing President, Bill Clinton, informed the incoming President that
Osama bin Laden was a significant threat - Bush "changed the subject".
When 9/11 occurred, it was admittedly a total surprise to National Security
Adviser, Condoleezza Rice: "Who could have imagined this!" And yet,
several warnings had occurred. At the very least it's sheer incompetence.
Bush touts his "strong record" on the "war on terror". And yet, Iraq was
a serous error that has caused heightened terrorist activities.
Then came the Abu Ghraib torture, supposedly a surprise to the
administration. Now, it turns out that the authorization for this type of
treatment (stripping prisoners naked and using attack dogs) came directly
from the Whitehouse! And still, no one has been held accountable!
What does it take for this President and his Administration to be removed?
Indeed, there are calls for Impeachment; but that will be long and messy.
But wait, the American people will be conducting a "performance evaluation"
in November!
Read Merle Borg's "Performance Evaluation"
The four reasons for impeachment of GW Bush
"That's My Story and I'm Stickin' to it"
Read the lyrics of this song, and imagine Dick Cheney singing it
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eFeedback
Ron Davis [red@synchrony.com] has some excellent insights on future
economies and education:
"As society becomes more and more productive, I continue to think about
the future world described by H.G. Wells in his book "The Time Machine".
The story's main character travels into the distant future. The world has
evolved into two classes. One class lives in perfect harmony with all
their needs cared for in a park-like setting. The other class lives below
the ground to run and operate all the machinery to sustain the society on
the surface.
"As our systems become more and more efficient, taken to an extreme,
one techno-capitalist will be sitting at his PC making everything for
everyone else. What will these few demand in return for supporting the
rest of society?
"Having come of age during the invasion of Japanese products, I have
always felt that the "real" war is being fought on the factory floor.
Only now I see that the "arms" for this war originate in the classroom,
which has been woefully neglected during the past generation. Current
political efforts to correct the education problem has been to establish
standardized tests. In response, the education system now just teaches
just enough to get students to pass these tests. My children have brought
home class assignments specifically tailored to specific sections of the
standardized test. So now if some topic is not on the test, it gets
dropped from the curriculum.
"We should be spending more money on "Education R&D", learning how to do
a better job of teaching, not testing. What methods in the classroom work
and which do not. If we spent a fraction of Defense R&D spending on
researching improved classroom teaching methods, we would not be turning
out second-class graduates."
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Michael Pettengill [michaelpettengill@earthlink.net] has some good insights
about energy markets and politics:
"Let's stop the US government from meddling in the energy market:
- Add the cost of meddling in Persian Gulf to the price of (all) oil
consumed. 9/11 was motivated by the first Bush putting troops in
the region to invade Kuwait, instead of letting the region take care
of a local matter. If oil exports were to cease from the region due
to civil war, the market would have solved the problem. Now, add the
cost of 9/11 and the Iraq war too.
- Let the US public decide what the royalty should be on oil/gas/coal
on/under public land. I think the royalty should be at least $10 a
barrel or equivalent, payable into FICA account. (Since I'm not retired
yet, I think my share should stay in the ground). The market will find
alternative sources of hydrocarbons not on public land.
- Stop subsidizing and providing price supports on agricultural products
which require the use of oil/gas to produce. Fertilizer is the biggie -
cheap oil allows heavy fertilizer use, leading to excess food exported
to countries like Mexico, displacing manual farm labor and leading to
cities being flooded with people who must work for pennies, competing
with workers elsewhere. All this is enabled by dictators in places
like the Persian Gulf, whose oil wealth is used to buy support for
continuation of this agenda.
"Our military is in the Persian Gulf because cheap oil is a "local"
matter in the US. Our military is not in places where genocide or
something as bad is happening because those are "local" to someplace
without resources critical to the US.
"I find that when I express views like the above in forums like the ones
hosted by the WSJ, I'm thrown into the Democrat partisan category. Well,
I don't support either party. I would be happy to see GW Bush do what
Lyndon Johnson did and announce that he's not going to run for
re-election. This would cause no problem, as the Republicans will have
plenty of time to find a new candidate using the traditional backroom
politics. The idea that the voters decide who the candidate will be
is fiction - the Dems chose someone no one particularly likes because
conventional wisdom deemed the others to be unelectable.
"As if the Dem to be anointed hasn't moved enough to the middle of the
sludge, the running mate many propose is a Republican who is pretty
generally considered to be the anti-Dubya.
"Basically I view the "left" and the "right" to be two faces of a
'parent' that wants to determine how I live my life. On the one hand,
we have the sugar and spice approach which buys you off if you do what
they want. And on the other hand, you have the switch and belt approach
which will beat you if you do what they say you shouldn't."
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Mike Budrock [mbudrock@netzero.net] on the decline of education:
"While I couldn't agree more with your observation regarding the US
losing its competitive edge, I couldn't agree less with your implication
that this is yet another Bush failing.
"The situation you describe has been some time in the making and both
political parties, along with certain special interest groups (the NEA
not least among them), bear the responsibility for the current
educational train wreck.
"We have long retired teaching basic, critical thinking and academics
in favor of a more broad-based curriculum that concerns itself first
and foremost with immersing our children in sociological concepts to
an obscene degree, while leaving math and the sciences severely wanting.
"When a child of 8 knows what homosexuality, environmentalism, and
vegetarianism are but can't make change for a dollar, or understand why
the sun comes up in the east and sets in the west, we have a problem
and it's not political, it's systemic."
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